Wednesday, September 24th, 2025

Current ACAP Momentum/Trend Model Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 10)

The SPX index lost 55bps during yesterday’s session, closing at 6656 after achieving a minor new all-time high at 6699.52.  My momentum and trend indicators remain firm.  My Spot VIX signal remains “neutral”.  My VIX Term Structure signal remains “risk on”.  The ACAP Momentum/Trend Model signal remains Positive.  While there was some minor retracement today, I don’t see a significant fade developing yet.  The 6600 level could get tested but the current setup would suggest a hold there and rally back towards 6700.  Risk remains skewed to the upside for the near term.

Trade Support:

6600: Previous Resistance

6400: Previous All-Time High (July 28)

6200: July 7 Low

6147: Previous All-Time High (Feb 19)

Trade Resistance:

6802: Fibonacci Projection (123.6%)

7035: Fibonacci Projection (138.2%)

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